16 January 2025
Kai Kong Chay, Senior Portfolio Manager, Greater China Equities
Wenlin Li, Senior Portfolio Manager, Greater China Equities
Ben Yu, Head of Equities, Taiwan Region



In 2024, Greater China equities closed higher due to a series of stimulus measures which catalysed the underlying structural momentums and growth trends. In this 2025 outlook, the Greater China Equities team will elaborate on four reasons for more upside potential going into 2025 despite potential US tariff concerns and geopolitical headwinds, as well as investment opportunities based on the 4As positioning for Greater China equity markets.
1) New fiscal policy initiatives
2) Mainland China can navigate tariff situations via different methods
3) Mainland Chinese corporates are “valuing up”.
4) Mainland China/Hong Kong markets can re-rate with better fiscal policy execution
From a sector perspective, we believe that mainland China should benefit from the following key areas despite macro and geopolitical headwinds:
Our investment process: GCMV + catalyst
Our investment team uses the GCMV (growth, cash generation, management, valuation) + catalyst framework to conduct investment research. This framework is applied for all company analysis which helps identify companies with competitive advantage, strong financial profile, earnings catalysts, and management teams that have created value for shareholders.
4As positioning
We believe there are 4 megatrends (expressed via the 4As positioning) which present growth opportunities that the team invest in via the GCMV lens.
We favour service-oriented and niche consumption sectors, including Technology, media and telecommunications (TMT) and platform companies (e.g. food delivery, online music), education, tourism, and home appliances (e.g. smart appliances)
We prefer leading companies with strong innovative capabilities and global footprints in the healthcare, and industrial and EV sectors.
In terms of investment opportunities, we favour AI wearable devices, AI smartphone supply chain and autonomous vehicles.
For Taiwan Region, we believe the next generation of AI development continues to present many structural opportunities across foundries, the next generation of AI, data centres, and HBM, etc. in the medium-to-long term.
We prefer strong, advanced manufacturing leaders with robust research and development capabilities. These companies benefit from the domestic growth recovery while at the same time riding on overseas market strength due to strong pricing and margins in overseas markets.
2026 Asia Equities ex-Japan Outlook: Positive catalysts drive continued momentum
Asia equities ex-Japan delivered strong performance in 2025. Looking ahead to 2026, June Chua, Head of Asia Equities, outlines in this investment note why she believes the outlook for the asset class remains constructive, underpinned by numerous positive catalysts: a softer US dollar, the US Federal Reserve’s rate-cut trajectory, supportive earnings and valuations, and differentiated growth drivers across geographies.
Greater China Equities: 2H 2025 Outlook
The latest Greater China Equities Outlook highlights how our investment team navigates global uncertainties and invests through the lens of our investment framework via the “4A” positioning: Acceleration, Abroad, Advancement, and Automation.
Takeaways from China’s NPC Meeting & upcoming drivers for Greater China equity market
In addition to the recent breakthroughs in AI and humanoid robot development, we observe other positive catalysts that further support the region’s market.
Overweight utilities – stability meets growth in a rate-cutting cycle
Heading into 2026, preferred securities remain an attractive asset class supported by strong fundamentals and favourable macro trends. In particular, utilities preferreds stand out as a core allocation, benefiting from structural growth drivers, such as artificial intelligence (AI)-driven energy demand, easing monetary policy, and their defensive characteristics amid potential market uncertainties.
2026 Outlook Series: Greater China Equities
Greater China equity markets registered a strong equity rally in 2025 to date, driven by technology breakthroughs, demand for localisation, go-global demand, and upward earnings growth revisions. We reiterate a positive view on Greater China equity markets going into 2026 as we believe Mainland and Taiwan are well-positioned to drive high-quality growth to the next level.
2026 Asia Equities ex-Japan Outlook: Positive catalysts drive continued momentum
Asia equities ex-Japan delivered strong performance in 2025. Looking ahead to 2026, June Chua, Head of Asia Equities, outlines in this investment note why she believes the outlook for the asset class remains constructive, underpinned by numerous positive catalysts: a softer US dollar, the US Federal Reserve’s rate-cut trajectory, supportive earnings and valuations, and differentiated growth drivers across geographies.