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Dollar Cost Averaging

19 July, 2018

Discipline wins the race

Investors employ various strategies to maximise their chances of getting the best returns. All strategies have their pros and cons. We cover the strategy of choice for investors who want to achieve long-term stability by exercising strict financial discipline – dollar cost averaging.

What is dollar cost averaging?

It is the practice of systematically investing a fixed dollar amount into a particular investment on a regular schedule – regardless of fluctuations in the market price. The result of this is that an individual buys more units when prices are low and fewer units when prices are high.

 

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Why this strategy?

No single investment strategy guarantees easy profits or big returns. What’s important is finding a viable long-term strategy that matches your risk appetite, financial goals, and budget. Key highlights of the strategy include:

  • Dollar cost averaging is for individuals with a lower risk appetite, less time to spare on closely following the market, or cash flow concerns (depending on the total investment amount).
  • The systematic nature of this strategy eliminates the biggest risk that inexperienced investors face: susceptibility to “panic” buy or sell decisions in response to unanticipated market movements.
  • Over time, your average investment cost may be lower than lump sum investment, which may contribute to more long-term profits (as illustrated in the following example).

Investment markets fluctuate, as shown in chart below. Therefore, it is difficult to choose the best time to invest.

MSCI Emerging Markets Gross Total Return Index (2008-2018 Year-to-date)

Source: Bloomberg, as of 30 June 2018. Total returns in US dollar.

Illustrative example

Lump sum investment versus monthly investment (dollar cost averaging)

Source: Bloomberg and MSCI, as of 31 December 2017. Total returns in US dollars. Index value is rebased as US$ 10 (initial unit price) on 31 January 2013. Monthly investment is made on every month end at rebased unit price. As of 31 May 2018, the geographical allocations of MSCI Emerging markets index are as follows: China (31.74%), South Korea (15.36%), Taiwan (11.65%), India (8.48%), South Africa (6.47%) and others (26.3%). The example mentioned is for illustrative purpose only. The information neither indicates any actual portfolio holdings nor constitutes any investment recommendation or advice. Different investments have different volatile patterns. Past performance is not an indicative of future performance.

Source: Bloomberg and MSCI, as of 31 December 2017. Total returns in US dollars. Index value is rebased as US$ 10 (initial unit price) on 31 January 2013. Monthly investment is made on every month end at rebased unit price. As of 31 May 2018, the geographical allocations of MSCI Emerging markets are as follows: China (31.74%), South Korea (15.36%), Taiwan (11.65%), India (8.48%), South Africa (6.47%) and others (26.3%). The example mentioned is for illustrative purpose only. The information neither indicates any actual portfolio holdings nor constitutes any investment recommendation or advice. Different investments have different volatile patterns. Past performance is not an indicative of future performance.

What does it mean for you?

Financial Performance:
Dollar cost averaging vs lump sum investing

Performance varies for the two strategies. Dollar cost averaging has outperformed lump sum investing in certain markets or seasons. Otherwise, popular consensus lean towards lump sum investing recording higher returns for calm and experienced investors over time. But two things to keep in mind:

  • Seasoned investors can deal with the higher risk on an emotional level and react more calmly and flexibly to market movements.
  • Inexperienced investors tend to predict the market, and overreact to temporary market shifts, but finally proceed to quit with big loss.
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Manulife Investment Management is the global wealth and asset management segment of Manulife Financial Corporation. The information and/or analysis contained in this material have been compiled or derived from sources believed to be reliable at the time of writing but Manulife Investment Management does not make any representation as to their accuracy, correctness, usefulness or completeness and does not accept liability for any loss arising from the use hereof or the information and/or analysis contained herein. Neither Manulife Investment Management or its affiliates, nor any of their directors, officers or employees shall assume any liability or responsibility for any direct or indirect loss or damage or any other consequence of any person acting or not acting in reliance on the information contained her

This material was prepared solely for educational and informational purposes and does not constitute a recommendation, professional advice, an offer, solicitation or an invitation by or on behalf of Manulife Investment Management to any person to buy or sell any security. Nothing in this material constitutes financial, investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to your individual circumstances, or otherwise constitutes a personal recommendation to you. Past performance is not an indication of future results. Investment involves risk. In considering any investment, if you are in doubt on the action to be taken, you should consult professional advisers.

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Update

Transition from MHO to Manulife iFUNDS by 31 March 2023 to enjoy seamless digital experience. Login to Manulife iFUNDS today

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